Qualification Scenarios for World Cup 2023: The race to the ICC World Cup 2023 semi-finals is getting heated up as we approach the end of the league stage of the ICC World Cup 2023 in India. So far, just one team has booked its place in the semi-finals and the eliminated teams count is also one. With three places to grab among the eight contenders, we have brought to you the Qualification Scenarios for the World Cup 2023 and how all teams can enter the semi-finals of the World Cup 2023.
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Last night the hosts, Team India, became the first team to qualify for the semi-finals of the ongoing ICC World Cup 2023. India defeated Sri Lanka by 302 runs and sealed a spot for themselves in the Top 4 teams.
Notably, Bangladesh is the only team that has been eliminated from the ICC World Cup 2023. Pakistan, a couple of nights ago, thumped Bangladesh and blocked their entry to the World Cup 2023 semi-finals.
Before marching towards the qualification scenarios for World Cup 2023, take a look at how the points table looks after the India vs Sri Lanka game:
| POS | TEAM | PLAYED | WON | LOST | N/R | TIED | NET RR | POINTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | India (Q) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.102 | 14 |
| 2 | South Africa | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.290 | 12 |
| 3 | Australia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +0.970 | 8 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +0.484 | 8 |
| 5 | Pakistan | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -0.024 | 6 |
| 6 | Afghanistan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -0.718 | 6 |
| 7 | Sri Lanka | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -1.162 | 4 |
| 8 | Netherlands | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -1.277 | 4 |
| 9 | Bangladesh | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | -1.446 | 2 |
| 10 | England | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -1.652 | 2 |
Qualification Scenarios for World Cup 2023 Semi-Finals
India’s Qualification Scenarios: Qualified for World Cup 2023 Semi-Finals.
South Africa’s Qualification Scenarios:
The Proteas have played seven matches and have managed to win six of them. They are placed comfortably in the second spot in the points table and just have to win one of their remaining two matches to get a ticket to the World Cup 2023 semi-finals.
Even if South Africa loses both of its matches, it will still have plenty of chances as their net run rate is quite high at 12 points.
Australia’s Qualification Scenarios:
Australia have won four matches so far in the tournament after featuring in six matches. The remaining matches count for them is three and the Aussies need to win all of them to get a hindered entry to the top four. However, if they lose a fixture, it will boil down to the net run-rate superiority at 12 points.
If Australia loses two of its remaining three games and at the same time New Zealand, Afghanistan and Pakistan manage to win one or more games, then Australia will get into a tricky situation which will again bring net run-rate into play.
New Zealand’s Qualification Scenarios:
The Kiwis have two more games remaining in their campaign for the World Cup 2023, and for a clear-cut entry, they need to win both of them. A loss will put them in a situation of net run-rate superiority. However, still, they will have plenty of chances to get through due to their better NRR.
Pakistan’s Qualification Scenarios:
The path is rough for Pakistan to sail further. They couldn’t do well in the first few matches which has put them in a situation of permutation and combination now. Pakistan will have to win both of its remaining games – against New Zealand and England – and with a good margin to improve their NRR.
Furthermore, they will hope that Australia lose their remaining three games, New Zealand lose their two games and Afghanistan lose at least one, which will put Pakistan on level with other teams at 10 points.
Afghanistan’s Qualification Scenarios:
A good chance for Afghanistan would be to win their remaining three matches and seal a semi-final spot. However, even if they manage to win just one game, it will put them on level with 8 points and then the permutation and combination would come into play along with net run rate. Two wins would put Afghanistan at par with teams with 8 points which will be another good chance for them to make it to the World Cup 2023 Semi-Finals.
Sri Lanka’s Qualification Scenarios:
Despite such an embarrassing defeat against India, Sri Lanka still finds themselves among the teams aiming for the top 4 qualifications. Mathematically, Sri Lanka will have to win their remaining two games and also hope that Australia and New Zealand lose all of their games. Also, they will hope that Afghanistan, Pakistan and the Netherlands lose at least a few of their games.
Netherland’s Qualification Scenarios:
The Dutch too have a slight chance of making it to the World Cup 2023 Semi-Finals. For that to happen, the Netherlands will have to win their remaining three games with a decent margin and also hope that Australia and New Zealand lose their remaining matches. This would put them at 10 points. However, this won’t be easy as their next three matches are against England, Afghanistan and India.
England’s Qualification Scenarios:
The defending champions, England also see themselves among the bottom four teams. England has just a single win from six games, which makes it quite hard for them to qualify for the World Cup 2023 semi-final. England will have to win their remaining three matches which will take them to eight points. Also, they will hope Australia and New Zealand lose their remaining games and hope that Pakistan, Afghanistan and Netherlands don’t win all of their fixtures remaining.
Bangladesh’s Qualification Scenarios: Knocked Out of World Cup 2023.
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