India's Path to ICC Women's World Cup 2025 Semi Final
ICC Women’s World Cup 2025 is entering its crucial phase, and the Indian women’s cricket team is in a precarious position now. Having got off to a blazing start, India’s campaign has faltered a bit and their semifinal hopes rest upon the way they end the upcoming series of matches.
Where India Stands Now
With four games played, India remain fourth on the points table with four points — courtesy of two wins and two defeats — and a robust Net Run Rate of +0.682. They started the tournament with confidence, beating Sri Lanka and Pakistan, but back to back losses to South Africa and Australia have made the journey to the semifinals one much more difficult. (Source: Outlook India)
Upcoming Matches
India’s got three league games to fix this.
vs England – October 19
vs New Zealand – Oct 23
vs Bangladesh – October 26
These matches will determine if India remains in top four or bow out early.
What India Needs to Qualify
Scenario 1: Win All Three
This is the dream scenario. If India wins all three remaining matches, they’ll end with 10 points and will qualify for the semifinals without relying on any other results. It’s a tall order, but completely feasible if India fires on all cylinders. (Source: Outlook India)
Scenario 2: Win Two, Lose One
If India can win two of their next three matches, they’ll finish with eight points. That tally could still grab a semifinal berth for them, assuming their Net Run Rate remains superior to teams on the same points. In the majority of previous World Cups eight points would have qualified. (Source: Outlook India)
Why Net Run Rate Matters
India’s excellent NRR (+0.682) is a huge benefit at the moment over South Africa (−0.888) and New Zealand (-0.245). This implies that if teams finish level on points, India might just sneak ahead due to their better run rate. (Source: Cricket Times)
The Real Test Ahead
Australia and England appear on track to fill the top two spots in the table. That sets up a close race for the other semifinal slots between India, South Africa and New Zealand. These upcoming clashes against England and New Zealand will therefore be crucial — both are direct rivals in the qualification race. (Source: Cricket Times)
India’s destiny, however, is still mostly up to them. Taking two out of their last three, and preserving the NRR, should be sufficient to reach the semifinals. We could even see that final Bangladesh contest become a must-win, based on the earlier results.
What to Expect
Indian team has been brilliant at times but has to become consistent. Smriti Mandhana’s form at the top, Harmanpreet Kaur’s helm and Deepti Sharma’s all-round efforts will be pivotal in the days to come. With momentum and faith, India STILL has a great shot to make the final four.
Bottom Line: India’s qualifier hopes are alive — but from here on, every over, wicket, and small decision will matter.
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